Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 9?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (99%). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 2 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1.01 (+1%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability99.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.7%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 5 days
- Price moved -0.7pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$10K
Liquidity$25K
Current Probability99%
Resolves in1d
ConvergenceVol: 0.3% → 3.7%
36h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
Bitcoin is overwhelmingly expected to stay above $60K through April 9 (99% YES), consistent with current spot trading in the $65K-$70K range. The ultra-short 3-day timeframe and stable price action overnight eliminate downside risk; this reads as baseline volatility insurance at minimal cost. The 99% YES on NO reflects pure tail hedging rather than genuine downside conviction.