Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 2 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -5.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -5.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$10K
Liquidity$20K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in1d
ConvergenceVol: 36.5% → 18.2%
33h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
Bitcoin reaching $74k by April 9 is priced at just 3%, representing an extreme outlier scenario requiring a massive gap-up move. The negative 24h price momentum and lack of bullish catalysts make this a pure lottery bet.