About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.6%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.6pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$6K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 30.0% → 15.6%
57h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
AI Brief
Bitcoin below $58,000 on April 10 is priced at just 1%, reflecting that a -7% pullback in four days contradicts the current bullish micro-structure and recent +4.9% momentum. This near-zero probability protects downside risk for long-biased portfolios.