
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 40% YES. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$150.00 (+150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability40.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: +9.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +9.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability40%
Resolves in7h
ConvergenceVol: 17.0% → 10.4%
Last 7h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h