Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 81%. Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in 4 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$23.46 (+23%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability81.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +24.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +24.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$24K
Current Probability81%
Resolves in3d
Active tradingVol: 7.2% → 5.0%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals