Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3233.33 (+3233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability3.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -2.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -2.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability3%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 12.6% → 7.1%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals