Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 52% YES. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$92.31 (+92%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability52.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$6K
Current Probability52%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 4.2% → 3.8%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Peak vol window — best for active traders