About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (96%). Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4.17 (+4%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability96.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +70.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +70.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 83.8% from 19.6% baseline — 327% shift
- Volume spike: Volume spiked 298% in 2h — unusual activity
- Informed flow detected
- Sentiment divergence: active YES-buying pressure
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$21K
Liquidity$8K
Current Probability96%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 76.3% → 34.1%
59h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets2
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=10.7
CriticalVolz=9.9