About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (96%). Momentum is strong up. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4.17 (+4%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability96.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +71.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +71.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Volume spike: Volume spiked 301% in 2h — unusual activity
- Price move: Price moved up to 86.2% from 20.2% baseline — 326% shift
- Mixed capital flow
- Sentiment divergence: active YES-buying pressure
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$22K
Liquidity$8K
Current Probability96%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 79.2% → 35.3%
59h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets2
Anomalies
CriticalVolz=10
CriticalPricez=7.7