About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 30% YES. Momentum is rising. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$233.33 (+233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability30.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +1.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price moved +1.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$712
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability30%
Resolves in2d
Active tradingVol: 21.1% → 10.5%
2d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
AI Brief
Palantir finishing the week below $153 is the consensus call at 70% NO, with a sharp -6.5% 24h selloff suggesting recent weakness or profit-taking after a run higher. The 30% YES odds price in a significant oversold bounce scenario, but the trend is decidedly bearish into this Friday close. Catalyst is any earnings surprise or executive commentary on government/commercial mix and guidance.