Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 7 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$36K
Liquidity$29K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in6d
Active tradingVol: 31.0% → 14.5%
6d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Elon Musk posting exactly 540-559 tweets in a single week is priced at zero percent, reflecting the market's view that this specific volume band is unlikely given Musk's typical posting patterns. The market has been essentially dead on this outcome since launch, and with only $18.6K daily volume, it appears traders have little conviction that the constraint will be met.