Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 9?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 35% YES. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$185.71 (+186%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability35.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +7.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +7.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 31.8% from 27.6% baseline — 15% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$2K
Current Probability35%
Resolves in15h
ConvergenceVol: 8.6% → 7.0%
Last 16h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h
Related Markets8
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=5.5