
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on April 9?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO). Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in 2 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -5.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressureFresh market
- Price dropped -5.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$2K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in1d
ConvergenceVol: 52.2% → 24.5%
30h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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