About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 41% YES. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$143.90 (+144%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability41.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -25.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressureFresh market
- Price dropped -25.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 42.3% from 48.7% baseline — 13% shift
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$19K
Current Probability41%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 6.8% → 4.8%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Peak vol window — best for active traders
AI Brief
Solana at $80 on April 12 mirrors the April 10 strike with 49/51 parity, confirming $80 is a critical technical pivot for SOL. The extreme -15% 24h volatility and two-day extended timeframe show that SOL could resolve either direction depending on short-term momentum and risk sentiment.
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.6