About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 48% YES. Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 6 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$108.33 (+108%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability48.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -23.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -23.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$34K
Current Probability48%
Resolves in5d
Active tradingVol: 14.0% → 7.7%
5d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Peak vol window — best for active traders
Related Markets9
AI Brief
Ethereum reaching $2,200 by April 12 sits at 69% probability, indicating consensus for modest upside movement over the week's timeframe. The tight liquidity spread suggests this level is near current trading price, making it an accessible near-term target. Catalyst is weekly momentum and macro sentiment.