Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 11?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 2 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -2.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -2.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 6.9% from 4.5% baseline — 55% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$2K
Current Probability7%
Resolves in1d
ConvergenceVol: 25.9% → 14.0%
38h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets2
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.8