About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 41% YES. Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 7 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Joel Schwaerzler wins+$143.90 (+144%)
If Roman Safiullin wins-$100.00
Break-even probability41.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -6.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -6.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 41.0% from 43.7% baseline — 6% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$13K
Liquidity$27K
Current Probability41%
Resolves in6d
Active tradingVol: 3.3% → 3.4%
7d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Peak vol window — best for active traders
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.5