Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 12?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in14h
ConvergenceVol: 15.8% → 9.9%
Last 15h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction