Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 38% YES. Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$163.16 (+163%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability38.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -20.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -20.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$22K
Liquidity$16K
Current Probability38%
Resolves in11d
Active tradingVol: 0.7% → 2.4%
11d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals