Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 21, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 52% YES. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$92.31 (+92%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability52.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$27K
Liquidity$23K
Current Probability52%
Resolves in10d
Active tradingVol: 8.3% → 5.4%
11d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Peak vol window — best for active traders