Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1900.00 (+1900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability5.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -28.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -28.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$8K
Liquidity$10K
Current Probability5%
Resolves in16h
ConvergenceVol: 21.9% → 12.3%
Last 16h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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