Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 33% YES. Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$203.03 (+203%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability33.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -7.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price dropped -7.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$45K
Liquidity$16K
Current Probability33%
Resolves in10d
Active tradingVol: 8.2% → 5.4%
11d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
Related Markets1