Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 37% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$170.27 (+170%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability37.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowFresh market
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 36.7% from 40.8% baseline — 10% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$7K
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability37%
Resolves in19d
Low VolatilityVol: 7.8% → 4.0%
19 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.5