Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 13?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 33% YES. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$203.03 (+203%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability33.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +15.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +15.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 28.2% from 20.0% baseline — 41% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$2K
Current Probability33%
Resolves in14h
ConvergenceVol: 18.5% → 11.0%
Last 14h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h
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Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.5