Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 13?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 88% NO. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -19.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -19.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 17.9% from 12.5% baseline — 43% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$2K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in15h
ConvergenceVol: 26.0% → 14.0%
Last 16h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets2
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.2