Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 61%. Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$63.93 (+64%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability61.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +6.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Price jumped +6.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$19K
Liquidity$17K
Current Probability61%
Resolves in18d
Low VolatilityVol: 10.6% → 5.1%
19 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert