Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 87%. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$14.94 (+15%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability87.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveFresh market
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$10K
Liquidity$10K
Current Probability87%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.2% → 1.4%
81 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert