Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
SportsActiveQuality B
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed. Trading is very active today.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: high flowLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 30 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: high flow
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3.6M
Liquidity$180K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
63 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets5
AI Brief
Stephen Curry at 37 years old is priced at 0% for MVP, a realistic assessment given age-related decline and secondary role on the Warriors. Even hot scoring stretches lack the sustained dominance and team success needed for award consideration. Catalyst: 45+ PPG season on a top-2 seed would theoretically reprice to 1-2%, but current trajectory makes this extremely unlikely.