About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 86%. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$16.28 (+16%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability86.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (260d)
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 85.5% from 86.5% baseline — 1% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$108K
Liquidity$464K
Current Probability86%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.4% → 1.1%
49 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=5.4