Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (253d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$20K
Liquidity$98K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
74 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
AI Brief
Mauricio Cardenas is fully ruled out at 0% odds for the June 2026 Colombian election, suggesting markets have already converged on an alternative frontrunner or coalition winner. The moderate volume ($161K) indicates some structural interest in Colombian political risk despite the decisive market verdict.