Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (93%). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$7.53 (+8%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability93.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (204d)
- Price moved +1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$22K
Liquidity$73K
Current Probability93%
Resolves in3mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.7% → 1.2%
114 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Graham Platner is the strong favorite at 94% to win the Democratic Senate nomination in Maine, reflecting his apparent frontrunner status in the primary field. The market resolves in late July when the primary occurs, and the remaining 6% likely prices in residual uncertainty and potential surprises. Key catalysts include polling shifts and endorsements leading up to the primary.