About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 13.4% → 6.3%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
AI Brief
Anthropic's IPO valuation is priced as highly uncertain with only 1% odds traders assign to a $400-600B closing price on IPO day (June 30, 2026), suggesting consensus expects either a much higher or lower valuation or delayed IPO. Key drivers include AI market sentiment, OpenAI's competitive positioning, and Claude's adoption trajectory, with the nearest catalyst being any official IPO filing or executive commentary.