Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 71% NO. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$244.83 (+245%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability29.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +12.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +12.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability29%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 16.3% → 7.4%
266 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert