About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 43% YES. Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$132.56 (+133%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability43.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +9.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +9.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 38.3% from 54.0% baseline — 29% shift
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$2K
Current Probability43%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 18.3% → 8.2%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
Related Markets1
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.9