
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (96%). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4.17 (+4%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability96.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.7%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (147d)
- Price moved -0.7pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability96%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.3% → 1.0%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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