Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Source: official resolution criteria from Polymarket. Always verify on the source page before trading.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 71% NO.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$233.33 (+233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability30.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -1.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$173
Liquidity$5K
Current Probability30%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.7% → 2.4%
258 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert