Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
NewActiveQuality C
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Source: official resolution criteria from Polymarket. Always verify on the source page before trading.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: limited dataLiquidity: C
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$5K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in8mo