About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$113K
Liquidity$89K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
56 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets11
AI Brief
Na Kyung-won is priced at 0% to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, indicating the market has essentially ruled her out. This near-term election (56 days out) has likely already settled on a frontrunner or handful of viable candidates, with voting patterns suggesting a different outcome is consensus.