About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 86% NO. Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$614.29 (+614%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability14.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -14.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -14.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 12.2% from 23.5% baseline — 48% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$356
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability14%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 22.2% → 9.8%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.8