
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3233.33 (+3233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability3.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (124d)
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Volume spike: Volume spiked 42% in 2h — unusual activity
- Price move: Price moved down to 3.1% from 3.2% baseline — 3% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$25K
Liquidity$148K
Current Probability3%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.5% → 1.5%
37 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets33
Anomalies
CriticalVolz=8.5
WarningPricez=3.3