Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 32% YES. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$212.50 (+213%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability32.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowMature market (112d)
- Price moved +1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$38K
Liquidity$136K
Current Probability32%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 1.1% → 2.6%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Fidesz–KDNP winning Hungary's April 12 election is priced at 32% odds—a genuine toss-up in a closely contested race resolving in just 6 days. The moderate volume ($70K) reflects European political interest, with opposition consolidation and Orban fatigue balanced against his coalition's organizational advantages.