Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (98%).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2.04 (+2%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability98.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.2%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowMature market (112d)
- Price moved -0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$308
Liquidity$54K
Current Probability98%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.1% → 0.9%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
The Fed pausing all three decisions through April (Jan–Mar–Apr) is nearly certain at 98% yes, suggesting either confirmation of recent decisions or near-complete conviction in April's hold. This parlay's deep confidence despite thin liquidity signals strong rate-pause consensus heading into late April resolution.