Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3233.33 (+3233%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability3.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$383K
Liquidity$211K
Current Probability3%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 6.0% → 3.3%
82 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert