Climate science prediction markets on Polymarket Trade aggregate trader expectations about Earth's changing climate, temperature records, and environmental milestones. These markets let you explore questions about global warming trends, annual temperature rankings, and climate-related forecasts that shape policy, investment, and scientific understanding. Common climate questions include whether 2026 will rank among the hottest years on record. Traders continuously assess these outcomes based on existing heat trends, seasonal cycles, and historical temperature data. **What drives price movements in climate markets?** **Temperature data releases**: Monthly reports from meteorological agencies significantly shift expectations. A warmer-than-expected month typically raises odds on annual temperature records. **Scientific publications**: IPCC assessments, peer-reviewed climate studies, and satellite measurements provide new information that traders integrate into their forecasts. **Policy announcements**: Climate legislation, international agreements on emissions, and carbon pricing frameworks influence long-term climate trajectories and trader conviction. **Natural oscillations**: Seasonal patterns like El Niño and La Niña cycles create predictable annual temperature variations that experienced traders monitor closely. Whether you're tracking climate science for research, portfolio analysis, or general interest, these markets offer real-time aggregate forecasts from thousands of participants worldwide. As new data emerges—from temperature reports to climate research—price movements reflect evolving consensus among traders.