The 'Mojtaba Out' tag aggregates prediction markets centered on potential leadership changes in Iran. These markets enable traders to assess and exchange positions on the likelihood of political transitions occurring by specific dates throughout 2026. Common questions in this category include: - Will Iran's leadership change by April 30, 2026? - Will there be a leadership transition by December 31, 2026? - What is the probability of change by May 31 or June 30? These markets reflect collective expectations about Iran's political future, incorporating geopolitical analysis, economic conditions, historical precedent, and international relations dynamics. Key factors influencing market prices typically include: - Domestic political stability and internal power struggles - Regional tensions and diplomatic developments - Economic conditions and international sanctions - Statements from key political figures - Historical patterns of political succession - International relations and foreign policy shifts Market prices reveal how traders collectively assess the probability of leadership changes. Higher prices indicate stronger perceived likelihood; lower prices suggest traders view transitions as less probable within the specified timeframe. The granular date structure (April 30, May 31, June 30, December 31) allows traders to refine predictions about timing, distinguishing between near-term and longer-horizon outcomes. These markets aggregate dispersed information and expert judgment into continuous probability estimates, reflecting real-time market consensus on Iran's political trajectory.