About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
Market leans NO at 82% NO. Informed flow observed.
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- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T is betting whether Elon's company will achieve a three-trillion-dollar valuation upon going public, currently priced at just 16% yes. The 85% no consensus reflects skepticism about achieving that stratospheric valuation given current market conditions and comparable tech mega-cap valuations. Resolution depends entirely on when SpaceX actually IPOs and what the public markets will pay at that moment, with end-of-2027 as the deadline.