About this market
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Source: official resolution criteria from Polymarket. Always verify on the source page before trading.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 10.4% → 5.1%
258 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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