Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 58%. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$72.41 (+72%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability58.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -11.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price dropped -11.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$97
Liquidity$28K
Current Probability58%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.3% → 2.2%
192 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move