About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.3%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$26K
Liquidity$45K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 28.0% → 12.1%
206 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1
AI Brief
Stephen Miran's 1% probability for Fed Chair confirmation reflects structural barriers—current Fed leadership, less than two years until 2026 timeline, and Senate confirmation hurdles. Alternative Trump-aligned candidates like Judy Shelton compete for the same ideological slot. Catalyst: Fed leadership openings and Trump administration nominations in 2026.