About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$127K
Liquidity$476K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.9% → 2.5%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Trump removal from office by June 30 is priced at just 6%, with the market assigning near-zero probability to impeachment, resignation, or other sudden departure in the next 2-3 months. Relatively low volume ($163K) suggests limited trading interest in what's viewed as an extremely unlikely scenario. No near-term catalysts appear to be shifting expectations.